Perceived Impact of Climate Change on the Value Chain: A Focus on the Dairy Industry of Bangladesh

Climate change is a vulnerable co nstruct in the socioeconomic and political performances of geographical boundary of any economic status. It also influences the agricultural value chain activities like dairy farming and production. The study proposes and empirically examines the impact of climate change on the dairy production in the southeastern region of Bangladesh. The study applies the multi-nominal logistic regression and descriptive analysis (frequency and crosstabulation) to empirically test the data from 150 smallholders’ dairy farmers. The result shows higher degree of relationship between milk production and supporting variables, as well as significant contributions of the supporting variables except parasite occurrence in th e multi-nominal (logistic) regression model. In addition, the study indicates 55.97% and 79.54% probability of likeliness of occurrences of the two-logit equation like milk production decreases as well as milk production constant. More importantly, the result also reveals that water availability and pasture production have a significant pressure on this equation. The finding of the study provides some theoretical and managerial insight for understanding the perceived impact of climate changes on the smallholders’ dairy production.